College Football · resolved market
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3743037218592fede590abd2b778e7c325fbd858eb5026cdb500357c4e69ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 272,736$139,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,052.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 204,641$100,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,271.8 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 26,973$13,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,718.02 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 20,040$9,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,220.4 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 2,333$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.5 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.05 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 789$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.28 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 595.83$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.02 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 52c | 538.3$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5a59backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 412.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Under | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…57eebacked Under | 50c | 202.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Under | 52c | 191.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 46c | 158$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 46c | 155$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 46c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 46c | 81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 47c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 53c | 46.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7503backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5this page
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian StateGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: 1H MoneylineGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 57.5Under won
- O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-10.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-8.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-9.5)Georgia Southern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.