College Football · resolved market
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 57.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bed640250e19430e782e7dfccca9f3d5ec510bf49b99cf653a61cda65f186e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 7,926$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.89 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 7,660$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.06 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 29c | 657.47$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Under | 71c | 657.47$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Under | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Under | 59c | 280$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 41c | 260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…7236backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 52c | 208.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 48c | 168.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…72fbbacked Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 57.5this page
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian StateGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: 1H MoneylineGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5Under won
- O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-10.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-8.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-9.5)Georgia Southern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.