TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

O/U 59.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$691,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,012,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $691,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaefe…1e4abacked Under54c321,622$173,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,962.322955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Over46c301,126$138,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138,518.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,199.998948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under53c17,530$9,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,282.0152449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over47c13,198$6,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,203.0611849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c7,574$3,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,635.7258850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over46c5,299$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.5916234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over46c5,004$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.8738450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over47c2,533$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.311650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over44c1,588$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.6138546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Under75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over25c701.27$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3210047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under75c601.27$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.323852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c600.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011142.3%47 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x961a…73acbacked Over46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25350%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x522b…5160backed Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-76.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over25c392.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.321145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c363.89$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3148546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over15c333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9526940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over49c325.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2328440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c302.55$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.465945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf850…9163backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Under56c178.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6239847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bd…3a3bbacked Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ab…9450backed Under54c144$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Under50c142$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Over46c121.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.72653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x117a…01babacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4614055.7%78 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c96.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.862,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471090%9 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.41per pick49cpaid+82.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under54c85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4512346.3%57 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Under56c80.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.382657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.88751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Over50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca5…6d0cbacked Over49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba2d…13a7backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891e…ea69backed Over50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x806c…3381backed Over50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Under54c27.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.832343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Over50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Over47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.752050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.