Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f597f592a72601eb94381d72c786c5f1df5228099fee137eea5b6b4773d613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,319,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,604,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,319,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 18c | 158,001$28,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,440.23 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 18c | 150,490$27,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,002 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 18c | 107,999$19,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,439.87 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 49,929$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 19c | 49,200$9,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,348 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 18c | 31,820$5,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,727.57 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 18c | 30,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 18c | 25,090$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.16 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 18c | 20,709$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.59 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 18c | 18,300$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.99 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 15,856$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.11 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 18c | 15,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.96 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 18c | 13,780$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.4 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 18c | 12,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.95 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 19c | 8,810$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.99 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 18c | 8,703$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.53 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 18c | 8,217$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.05 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 18c | 6,952$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 18c | 6,489$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.07 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 18c | 6,330$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.4 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 1c | 6,063$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 2c | 5,828$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 18c | 5,702$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.36 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 18c | 5,040$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.12 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 19c | 4,756$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.59 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 7c | 4,613$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 19c | 4,181$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.74 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 17c | 3,334$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.7 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 1c | 3,171$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 17c | 2,990$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.31 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed No | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed No | 18c | 2,523$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…ddecbacked No | 19c | 2,300$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 18c | 2,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 2,030$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.44 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606b…b93ebacked No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…eaa7backed No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 18c | 1,982$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked No | 4c | 1,113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 6c | 1,101$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 17c | 1,024$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 19c | 990$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 1c | 960.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 18c | 900$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 17c | 851.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 17c | 540.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 18c | 500.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed No | 19c | 425.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 17c | 405$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 19c | 399.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 19c | 357.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…5043backed No | 18c | 344.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706e…b384backed No | 19c | 334.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 18c | 312.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 19c | 308$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked No | 18c | 286.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 18c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 6c | 225$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 19c | 224.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 19c | 200.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +63%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 18c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 12c | 191.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed No | 19c | 128.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 16c | 116.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed No | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.