Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d5c4de3a36a36eea823eeb44a38ceef296aa8860b24ca236be195a909b26d20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 8,854$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.78 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 6c | 7,100$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed Yes | 6c | 3,891$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.45 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 8c | 3,754$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 3,689$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 6c | 2,980$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.47 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 2,717$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 2,297$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 7c | 2,061$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.25 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…9e1cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606b…b93ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 1,261$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 4c | 1,014$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…b52dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 3c | 800$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 6c | 752.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 3c | 700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d9…7b43backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…20dabacked Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…b824backed Yes | 2c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…7790backed Yes | 7c | 542.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…4462backed Yes | 2c | 501.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes | 6c | 443.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 4c | 382.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…1e17backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 6c | 250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 7c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…48d3backed Yes | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.