TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool beat RB Leipzig?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked No53c9,355$4,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,928.39038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85ba…5b74backed No25c4,811$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes75c4,056$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.45455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No42c2,299$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.2917053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98f0…1af3backed No55c2,038$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2f…746cbacked Yes48c2,038$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.783339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes48c1,456$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.0313847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No45c1,146$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.511548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa24…3d23backed No52c1,105$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ca…c635backed Yes48c1,105$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1645…47a0backed Yes52c1,047$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.522055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked No25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6519645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5231…1f75backed Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes51c993.8$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.9615250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f92…b5f8backed No28c989.29$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2771040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes47c949.52$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes53c762.39$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes47c658.04$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.184944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes52c599.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2883174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No54c590.2$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.081060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7df…3bccbacked Yes50c507.88$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cc…6bd6backed No52c404.35$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86cb…f36cbacked No52c376.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes70c350.35$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.422647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5b6…68d6backed Yes51c341.71$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b5…8ee4backed Yes51c305.82$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x318c…1a2abacked No51c296.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7310743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.22948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb3…92e2backed Yes46c233.95$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.33944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcc…2d92backed No50c233.02$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7171…906fbacked Yes50c233.02$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfb…c72dbacked Yes53c230$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2991…d473backed No47c230$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No49c210.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.383240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x578a…ef44backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes48c207.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.12955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Yes51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.882931%9 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc819…0633backed No52c203.67$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1903…3089backed Yes51c198.37$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f4…673abacked No54c193.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…03babacked Yes49c189.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed No55c184.15$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.281850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1efa…6a86backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae3e…5867backed No53c177.87$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2b…b317backed Yes50c172.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b07…6f0abacked No53c146.68$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No21c138.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.974252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd494…2386backed Yes49c132.82$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No46c122.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.679752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4338…b376backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36ec…ec37backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbe9…f4e5backed Yes49c100.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.63955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c3…c1a8backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475518.2%10 W · 45 L-10.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7cde…9956backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb776…0b62backed Yes51c99.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ee…6c29backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4c…0bfebacked No52c95.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc32f…31a0backed No55c90.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed No15c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.826747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.923145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcda2…61a3backed Yes51c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No52c67.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Yes49c59.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8c…4515backed Yes75c58.37$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.569252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa319…bd72backed Yes55c54.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.54850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d1…0220backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4057…03b6backed Yes55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6710…328fbacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Yes47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…9cf9backed Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740b…3175backed Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes57c41.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.953158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f3…a900backed Yes50c40.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224969.4%34 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ea4…e097backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d8…e1eabacked No51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…88d8backed Yes49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c23…088abacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed Yes52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.322157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7799…0bd5backed No50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No47c31.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf73…0436backed Yes51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7392…7b2ebacked Yes52c30.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes52c30.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.774040%16 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.124455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e99…c594backed Yes55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f8…17dbbacked Yes52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.