Champions League · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig beat Liverpool?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc52abd3324621de679b76c11dfc9562a9c3382e0aabbf54d527c03229529d020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 28c | 1,789$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 72c | 1,627$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.46 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…8cbabacked Yes | 37c | 1,312$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 63c | 1,241$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.82 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…366cbacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 26c | 299.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…93ccbacked No | 73c | 134.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed No | 76c | 131.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 27c | 124.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 29c | 101.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 73c | 90.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…d499backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 26c | 57.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed No | 73c | 56.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 25c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…6f9ebacked No | 76c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…6053backed No | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…1541backed No | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7aa…231cbacked No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig beat Liverpool?this page
- Will Liverpool beat RB Leipzig?Yes won
- Will the match between RB Leipzig and Liverpool end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.