Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Lamar Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cac7dee9c679ee349d7494908a41f5bcad6519d1a78c90ad294f124d0d2b58d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, Lamar Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lamar Cardinals | 25c | 28,000$7,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,036.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Lamar Cardinals | 62c | 22,470$13,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,984.51 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 40c | 20,955$8,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,592.91 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 41c | 6,963$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 37c | 2,989$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.07 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 56c | 2,728$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.68 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Lamar Cardinals | 16c | 1,923$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.39 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 56c | 1,635$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.6 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 1,275$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lamar Cardinals | 61c | 1,198$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 79c | 868.53$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 40c | 847.81$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.83 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Lamar Cardinals | 64c | 661.69$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.86 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 41c | 603.64$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.22 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lamar Cardinals | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.42 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 399.73$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 59c | 397.03$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 37c | 373$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 40c | 361.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Lamar Cardinals | 59c | 249.15$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 42c | 243.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lamar Cardinals | 59c | 235.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 40c | 228.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 175.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Lamar Cardinals | 58c | 140.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Lamar Cardinals | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 37c | 95.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 38c | 92.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 42c | 71.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 79c | 69.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 61.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 38c | 52.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Lamar Cardinals | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 37c | 49.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 47.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 37c | 45.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 37c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…b870backed Lamar Cardinals | 58c | 36.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…02f3backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 42c | 36.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…df51backed Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…611dbacked Lamar Cardinals | 62c | 31.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…8167backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 38c | 31.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 26.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 17.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Lamar Cardinals | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.