College Football · resolved market
Missouri State vs. Arkansas State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d350356f2b012c16642e69d89eca120ea9cf11c8e15e258928a2505e1e8944f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Stateof Missouri State, Arkansas State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $531,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $545,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Arkansas State | 51c | 191,640$98,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,276.92 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Missouri State | 48c | 124,303$59,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,665.2 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Missouri State | 48c | 63,164$30,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,318.56 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Missouri State | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f6…cf62backed Arkansas State | 50c | 47,100$23,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Arkansas State | 53c | 39,022$20,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,340.54 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Missouri State | 51c | 30,720$15,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,667.16 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Missouri State | 53c | 30,000$15,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,850 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Missouri State | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Arkansas State | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas State | 67c | 18,061$12,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,956.08 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Arkansas State | 48c | 14,443$6,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,502.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Arkansas State | 52c | 14,295$7,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,861.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Missouri State | 47c | 13,381$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,289.07 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…ed6fbacked Missouri State | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Arkansas State | 53c | 6,953$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.83 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Missouri State | 48c | 6,858$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.71 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas State | 51c | 6,656$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.96 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…549abacked Missouri State | 51c | 5,506$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Missouri State | 37c | 5,494$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.44 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Arkansas State | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Missouri State | 48c | 4,332$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Arkansas State | 49c | 4,233$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.75 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Missouri State | 51c | 3,671$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Missouri State | 48c | 3,325$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Arkansas State | 48c | 3,204$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Arkansas State | 52c | 3,165$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.19 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Arkansas State | 52c | 2,957$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d81…e643backed Arkansas State | 54c | 2,750$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Missouri State | 30c | 2,072$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.52 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Missouri State | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…6471backed Arkansas State | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Missouri State | 1c | 1,876$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Missouri State | 2c | 1,726$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arkansas State | 51c | 1,705$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.95 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Arkansas State | 52c | 1,696$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.22 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Missouri State | 47c | 1,623$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Missouri State | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…c0edbacked Missouri State | 2c | 1,406$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arkansas State | 48c | 1,320$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.48 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…5836backed Missouri State | 52c | 1,298$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d54…93a5backed Arkansas State | 49c | 1,233$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83e…dceebacked Arkansas State | 49c | 1,227$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Arkansas State | 47c | 1,200$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…ed43backed Missouri State | 52c | 1,162$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Missouri State | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Missouri State | 21c | 1,011$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4343backed Arkansas State | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…cc1fbacked Arkansas State | 52c | 960.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Missouri State | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…310cbacked Arkansas State | 48c | 885.6$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…053dbacked Arkansas State | 48c | 879.18$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Arkansas State | 50c | 879.02$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.36 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…0037backed Missouri State | 52c | 863.66$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…b423backed Missouri State | 52c | 842.92$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…b66dbacked Missouri State | 52c | 841.43$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88af…8b52backed Missouri State | 52c | 828.12$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…3574backed Arkansas State | 48c | 821.16$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…9a9abacked Arkansas State | 48c | 792$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Arkansas State | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Missouri State | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Missouri State | 27c | 740$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Missouri State | 17c | 720.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Missouri State | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…a8ebbacked Arkansas State | 54c | 690.74$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Missouri State | 53c | 637.26$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Missouri State | 52c | 612.44$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.85 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Missouri State | 48c | 612.24$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.92 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Missouri State | 2c | 588.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Missouri State | 48c | 577.08$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Missouri State | 48c | 556.9$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Missouri State | 48c | 528$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Arkansas State | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Missouri State | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…be5bbacked Missouri State | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Missouri State | 6c | 403.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas State | 48c | 400$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Missouri State | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri State | 47c | 400$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Missouri State | 36c | 352$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Missouri State | 48c | 310.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…6127backed Arkansas State | 48c | 300.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1a…92abbacked Missouri State | 53c | 300.91$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Arkansas State | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Missouri State | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Missouri State | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Arkansas State | 51c | 299.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Missouri State | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…87fdbacked Missouri State | 21c | 298.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Missouri State | 23c | 286$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Arkansas State | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc048…8583backed Missouri State | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Missouri State | 31c | 261.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arkansas State | 50c | 258.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Missouri State | 48c | 248.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Missouri State | 48c | 245.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Missouri State | 7c | 241.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Arkansas State | 52c | 238.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Missouri State | 30c | 234.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…a303backed Missouri State | 23c | 228.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statethis page
- Missouri State vs. Arkansas State: O/U 54.5Over won
- Missouri State vs. Arkansas State: O/U 55.5Over won
- O/U 56.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas State (-1.5)Arkansas State won
- Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)Arkansas State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.