TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,473 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes46c22,861$10,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,515.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c10,254$6,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,729.922,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No56c9,306$5,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.752454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No58c7,611$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.43348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c7,287$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.8627737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes39c6,235$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No61c5,854$3,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.255240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c5,334$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.2848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.9720544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No56c4,000$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7409631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No54c3,948$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.1411848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No54c3,742$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.0538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No55c3,300$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.834245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Yes45c3,057$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.961747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes40c2,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8806323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes46c1,630$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes23c1,600$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3682227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c1,499$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.6345547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes44c1,423$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.8919549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes11c1,364$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-80.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No56c1,148$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.9652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No62c1,105$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.8524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No54c1,034$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.6437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No56c1,021$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.5733148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4103537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked Yes16c999.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16070%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69f8…2667backed Yes43c915.2$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.371172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No55c910.58$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.764656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No55c910$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.55747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c791.45$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.011,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No64c717.61$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.5159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31522237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No59c683.31$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5543058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes46c643.48$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes38c612.76$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes42c602$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.845658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x451b…57d8backed Yes36c597.57$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes39c501.71$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.652941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1757345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No57c500$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.53647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes3c499.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15358.6%3 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…d383backed Yes43c418.6$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd7…de6dbacked Yes43c407.21$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes42c395.81$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No65c390$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.56266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a9a…c2bfbacked Yes4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes46c331.7$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.582330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes46c327$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.421729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c320.57$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No74c302.95$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.615369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No57c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13513152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x931b…0f2dbacked Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No55c300$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.396949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No58c272.79$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.649037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No56c262$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2812452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes43c250.37$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6612923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked No58c234.02$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Yes45c233.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No57c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8521445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes41c193.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1511146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No60c188$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.222551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No62c181.2$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9813639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504050%20 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed Yes7c138.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.181729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes46c129.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes40c125.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.15740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945f…1293backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155525.5%14 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes37c113.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0277…0677backed Yes12c110$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed No55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.093560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes11c109$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.991838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked No56c96.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.181668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No57c89.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.469150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes42c84.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.451844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x844b…2580backed No55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.821741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.