TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,055 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c3,392$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.2927737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No70c3,345$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.612454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c2,716$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.911,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No69c2,415$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.88463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c2,274$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c1,755$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.5896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes32c1,100$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes30c1,046$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.4611832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c997.15$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2842,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes30c799.87$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f8…bc77backed No70c781.43$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes31c755.49$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.224939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1869…f2d5backed No70c734.29$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b3…70d9backed No70c641.36$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No70c595.49$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc6…d951backed No70c461.43$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.435100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes31c450.54$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.711844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No62c424.19$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.199046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes30c398.61$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.587631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No69c393.88$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.153647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fb…70b1backed Yes32c386.06$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed No69c353.62$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No68c310$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.229862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes32c304.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes30c301.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4519549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c239.44$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.444971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fd…8b78backed No69c226.09$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes30c214.74$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4220841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6219652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No70c199.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6121445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes35c199.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.95547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c63…0857backed No69c192.75$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.75366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c189.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes13c169.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.112929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c4f…47a4backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed No70c143$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.94271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…110bbacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c140$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed No69c105$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.551457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Yes35c103.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.091030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5585…dd3ebacked Yes13c100.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6150%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab21…cd27backed Yes32c94.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663e…d35bbacked No70c85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…99debacked Yes31c79.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfac5…9782backed No69c76.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f59…04cdbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c5…1f4cbacked No69c65.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes32c63.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Yes23c61.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.785255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x595a…2fd9backed Yes28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.83151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes30c59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.522236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85a…1ce1backed Yes39c58.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed Yes21c52.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.881729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c46.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bf…b5abbacked Yes32c45.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff5…2d49backed Yes31c45.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f3…5a90backed Yes31c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes28c44.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.423724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b8…f114backed Yes31c44.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e74…32c3backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+53.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Yes31c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7c…efe8backed Yes31c42.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3e…22bfbacked Yes31c42.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes31c42.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0813639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d78…413cbacked Yes31c41.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x881b…9c0abacked Yes31c41.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aea…9f4dbacked Yes31c40.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x080a…a2e8backed Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…5f20backed Yes31c39.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes31c39.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.320741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x867a…b6a5backed Yes31c37.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Yes31c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bd…f9f8backed Yes32c35.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bb…2411backed Yes32c34.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No70c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6e…f2ecbacked Yes31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.