TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$256,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No64c24,571$15,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,846.32,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes26c10,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,400450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Yes26c7,904$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,848.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes72c7,704$5,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.0232843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes26c7,000$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1809631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c5,799$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,253.9527737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No73c5,736$4,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,185.2245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes60c5,014$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.72875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c3,438$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.5648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa102…9196backed Yes28c3,274$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+149%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe2…7e3bbacked Yes28c3,157$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+149%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c3,048$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.3293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e0…c977backed Yes28c3,017$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dae…036ebacked Yes28c3,009$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0506442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x818c…abd5backed Yes28c2,960$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9134…58cabacked Yes28c2,796$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+151%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a5…dcb0backed Yes28c2,724$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd36b…7f41backed Yes28c2,609$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+109%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ce3…9b49backed Yes28c2,592$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66eb…5ab9backed Yes28c2,578$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+79.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1449…69e1backed Yes28c2,514$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes25c2,418$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.7911832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No71c2,341$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.852454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x103f…11fbbacked Yes28c2,314$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x232a…d11cbacked Yes28c2,284$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e38…d21ebacked No72c2,252$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.44580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No57c2,247$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.8359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…892dbacked No72c2,234$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a98…1477backed Yes28c2,218$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+131.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…b535backed Yes28c2,160$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+151%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes28c2,143$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.861618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes31c2,088$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.1524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdc4…a082backed No72c2,059$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.48366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c2,050$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cda…dcf2backed No72c2,041$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507b…af65backed Yes28c2,017$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48012452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes66c1,934$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6cc…d8f6backed Yes28c1,899$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+133.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…a60fbacked No72c1,767$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.24540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Yes61c1,700$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes72c1,626$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.4443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1b…947ebacked No72c1,540$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4798…9ffdbacked Yes28c1,382$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked No73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003250%16 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f7…24d0backed No72c1,336$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce2…4744backed Yes28c1,333$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9c…8098backed No72c1,329$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed No76c1,317$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c0…1634backed No72c1,314$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96d…66a3backed No72c1,296$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a3c…bab8backed Yes28c1,245$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1c5…8631backed No72c1,225$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2d…83cfbacked Yes28c1,224$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+141.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d25…ad46backed No72c1,200$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb71…0444backed No72c1,186$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…fea6backed No72c1,158$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3197…d500backed Yes28c1,158$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No40c1,154$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes46c1,148$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.281,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7b…a49abacked No72c1,134$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf670…bf42backed No72c1,133$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.76366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…48ddbacked Yes28c1,060$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+109%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b3…bc18backed No72c1,056$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63de…6a01backed No72c1,047$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc68e…61d4backed No72c1,027$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3a…994abacked No72c1,026$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.72580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a85…6d81backed Yes28c1,022$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7812…1247backed No72c1,005$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No72c999.9$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x806e…588bbacked No72c996.74$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ee…24c6backed No72c987$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e87…a82dbacked No72c968$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeecf…ecd3backed No72c950$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…44fabacked No72c944$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaece…55a7backed Yes28c934$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578a…ef23backed No72c920$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe054…7affbacked Yes28c919$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…0615backed No72c912$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd028…2b7fbacked No72c894$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52d…f641backed No72c894$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.68366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c884.55$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.6241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…43e8backed No72c866$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6e…61bebacked No72c862$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1917…5cd3backed No72c845$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8634…7106backed No72c837$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a5…4c17backed No72c806$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd2…2289backed Yes28c795$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+151%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f45…d8c8backed No72c784$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafde…1594backed No72c759$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a1…d2aebacked No72c758$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e3…2bd9backed Yes28c737$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+114.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54aa…9557backed No72c716$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed No73c703$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No72c698.9$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.2122551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes30c655.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9910…0e74backed No72c612$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No74c587$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.385658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.