Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6875a09a2168741b8b53ea4cf29e1e98aaea479e67d4dc1a7afefec70c03eaab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 66c | 2,689$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.08 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 34c | 2,029$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Over | 49c | 1,580$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 56c | 1,337$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.35 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 1,136$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.53 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 944.53$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.68 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 66c | 938.08$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Over | 65c | 700$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Under | 29c | 676$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Over | 70c | 666.67$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 65c | 639.46$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.86 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 599.81$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.92 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Over | 63c | 500$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Under | 46c | 463.17$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Under | 66c | 320$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…0615backed Over | 31c | 320$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 275.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Over | 29c | 255$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…62d3backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…c7febacked Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0ad1backed Under | 61c | 78.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 67c | 67.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 56c | 61.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ea…c5bfbacked Under | 41c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Over | 35c | 41.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 34c | 37.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 35c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.