NFL · resolved market
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a82dd2a48a9cfcc9570098db99c7cf38bdfc828ce55125329042a912dae938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 52c | 27,609$14,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,216.77 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 13,595$6,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.64 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 12,486$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,735.77 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 55c | 12,391$6,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,808.8 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 6,802$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.2 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 4,449$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.01 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 49c | 2,981$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.52 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 50c | 2,019$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.06 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 1,986$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.48 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Under | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,210$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.23 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 1,117$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.99 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 52c | 968.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Over | 53c | 950.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 894.99$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.44 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.05 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Over | 52c | 481.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.3 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 48c | 479.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Under | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 404.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…3143backed Under | 52c | 390$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbf…b7febacked Over | 49c | 390$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 53c | 302$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…6202backed Over | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 50c | 200.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…6471backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x870e…dd0bbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 172.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Over | 50c | 172.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 161.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 51c | 157.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0ad1backed Over | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 110.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…c4c7backed Under | 48c | 105.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…52bcbacked Over | 54c | 93.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 46c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 50.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…7ee7backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Over | 53c | 49.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Over | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…6d82backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…1dbebacked Over | 54c | 36.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Under | 51c | 33.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5this page
- 1H Spread: Steelers (-1.5)Browns won
- 1H Spread: Steelers (-2.5)Browns won
- First Touchdown: Harold Fannin Jr.Harold Fannin Jr. won
- Spread: Steelers (-3.5)Browns won
- Spread: Steelers (-4.5)Browns won
- Spread: Steelers (-5.5)Browns won
- Steelers vs. BrownsBrowns won
- Steelers vs. Browns: 1H MoneylineBrowns won
- Steelers vs. Browns: 1H O/U 16.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: 1H O/U 18.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 28.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 33.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 35.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.