College Football · resolved market
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47ab831301368385e315e4e7f7903df8a9ce61b59c192d45c9b384b849f4ea00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 51c | 50,840$25,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,932.14 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,499.99 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 52c | 28,272$14,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,701.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 26,166$12,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,617.21 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 9,302$4,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.07 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Over | 51c | 3,800$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Under | 51c | 2,049$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Over | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Over | 51c | 1,750$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…6b63backed Over | 53c | 1,328$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 49c | 1,100$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 999.52$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.95 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 52c | 961.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.3 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 819.8$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…3ffabacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Over | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 7c | 638.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 367.17$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.25 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Under | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…ce37backed Over | 49c | 250.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 242.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 43c | 238.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 8cpaid | +333.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…320fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked Under | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Over | 51c | 124.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 49c | 103$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 91.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…9eccbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0ad1backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Over | 52c | 67.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde99…416cbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c5…25cfbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…6878backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Under | 49c | 30.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…094fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…5487backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5this page
- Miami vs. Ohio StateMiami won
- Miami vs. Ohio State: 1H MoneylineMiami won
- Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 41.5Under won
- O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-7.5)Miami won
- Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)Miami won
- Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.