College Football · resolved market
Spread: Ohio State (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af933b2b49d4c209d852340eee37b3cdf4c7af109b8ea6b087018d0341e005a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miamiof Ohio State, Miami
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Miami | 53c | 10,237$5,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.02 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Ohio State | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami | 49c | 6,360$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.5 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami | 49c | 6,017$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.79 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ohio State | 47c | 3,879$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.39 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Ohio State | 37c | 3,372$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Miami | 80c | 3,167$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Ohio State | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ohio State | 47c | 1,961$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.88 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed Ohio State | 50c | 1,608$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ohio State | 51c | 1,568$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Ohio State | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Miami | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Miami | 50c | 939.22$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Miami | 49c | 899.57$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.78 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Ohio State | 52c | 839.1$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.33 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Miami | 48c | 660$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Ohio State | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Miami | 47c | 566.04$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…ef52backed Ohio State | 50c | 528.62$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Ohio State | 34c | 500$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ohio State | 48c | 468.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Miami | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Ohio State | 48c | 384.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Miami | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…5d06backed Ohio State | 16c | 380.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Ohio State | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Ohio State | 14c | 261$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…bc95backed Ohio State | 51c | 206.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Miami | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Miami | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Ohio State | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Ohio State | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…122ebacked Miami | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed Ohio State | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Ohio State | 51c | 167.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…e775backed Ohio State | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Ohio State | 52c | 152.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7561…7320backed Ohio State | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…36dcbacked Ohio State | 52c | 134.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…78cbbacked Miami | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Ohio State | 52c | 126.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Miami | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Ohio State | 58c | 85.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Miami | 49c | 77.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Ohio State | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9c…fbb7backed Ohio State | 66c | 66.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a93…7773backed Ohio State | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…14debacked Ohio State | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…74eabacked Ohio State | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f1…876bbacked Ohio State | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…ea9dbacked Ohio State | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio State (-7.5)this page
- Miami vs. Ohio StateMiami won
- Miami vs. Ohio State: 1H MoneylineMiami won
- Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5Under won
- Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 41.5Under won
- O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)Miami won
- Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.