College Football · resolved market
Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2036be958c37178e4e74f79bac248cb1c804b361a52ffa586c1f0973e3eff223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miamiof Ohio State, Miami
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Miami | 52c | 13,844$7,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.88 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Miami | 50c | 11,532$5,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.99 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Miami | 52c | 7,037$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.3 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Ohio State | 49c | 6,114$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Ohio State | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…d58fbacked Ohio State | 50c | 5,008$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ohio State | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Ohio State | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ohio State | 48c | 2,259$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Ohio State | 47c | 2,100$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.72 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Ohio State | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…f48ebacked Miami | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State | 48c | 1,283$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.63 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Miami | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Ohio State | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Ohio State | 47c | 744.7$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Miami | 52c | 700$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Ohio State | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Miami | 52c | 407.04$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…5160backed Ohio State | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Miami | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ohio State | 50c | 184$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…c16cbacked Ohio State | 49c | 114.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Ohio State | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ohio State | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Ohio State | 47c | 94.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Ohio State | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Ohio State | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Ohio State | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Miami | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Ohio State | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…9599backed Ohio State | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Ohio State | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Ohio State | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ohio State | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Ohio State | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)this page
- Miami vs. Ohio StateMiami won
- Miami vs. Ohio State: 1H MoneylineMiami won
- Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5Under won
- Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 41.5Under won
- O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-7.5)Miami won
- Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.