College Football · resolved market
O/U 42.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x617be5e58f70da17898a15caa3942624dbfc588f123605319ceab0d394814779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 60c | 22,748$13,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,026.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 40c | 13,102$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251.1 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 5,973$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.25 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 3,309$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.73 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 39c | 2,766$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.07 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 42c | 2,344$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.4 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 44c | 2,028$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Under | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 39c | 1,502$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.79 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 39c | 1,264$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.96 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 58c | 1,036$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 852.47$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.74 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 58c | 732.53$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.29 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 44c | 577$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.88 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Under | 51c | 555.91$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 42c | 384.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 58c | 362.75$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Under | 58c | 341.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 58c | 158$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 58c | 142$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 57c | 116$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 59c | 109.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 75c | 104.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 38c | 86.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 45c | 85.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 42c | 65.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Under | 52c | 56.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Over | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 41c | 49.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…5160backed Over | 27c | 47.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…4e8dbacked Under | 53c | 46.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Over | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Over | 30c | 42.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Under | 50c | 38.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…38c7backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…bb49backed Over | 48c | 31.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Under | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11dc…f4dcbacked Under | 57c | 24.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 42.5this page
- Miami vs. Ohio StateMiami won
- Miami vs. Ohio State: 1H MoneylineMiami won
- Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5Under won
- Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 41.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-7.5)Miami won
- Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)Miami won
- Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.