TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$450,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$500,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe74a…40eebacked Over49c116,504$57,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,087.091861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c81,664$42,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,280.866,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over50c80,769$40,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,774.734841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under52c70,702$36,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,105.1615049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under54c46,407$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,406.88962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c35,344$18,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,049.071,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under51c34,225$17,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,770.3227750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over49c30,600$14,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,993.9811029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c29,031$13,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,096.221853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c27,265$12,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,541.812,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over40c14,721$5,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,886.712,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under49c8,913$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,545.6338649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over48c8,328$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.552638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c8,187$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.11,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over48c7,292$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c7,047$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.371,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c5,429$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.271,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Over46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3008853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c4,224$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.4135652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b2…96edbacked Over48c3,338$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over40c3,272$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over49c2,816$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38019239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c2,649$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.154,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.9915952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Over51c2,353$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9204953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.79887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+47.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under49c1,816$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.169763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under49c1,813$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.725752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Over51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c1,452$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…f3b8backed Under71c1,400$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.01966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under50c1,304$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.951,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over51c1,246$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.446241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c1,212$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Under57c1,049$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.662055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Under53c900$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4234047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over51c888.36$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4169843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over44c789.56$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.4811324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under49c739.35$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7511846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x308d…1888backed Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over52c615.38$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over49c586.94$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.62450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1466…1d5abacked Over51c570$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over46c559.61$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4233057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under60c546.72$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4251542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…8fbfbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under79c399.99$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847565.3%49 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Under65c385.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.011668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6dd…3139backed Over52c344.23$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1791643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over51c338$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.383348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over51c334.2$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.441369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under49c325.93$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2219357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under49c317.54$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.956346%29 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476940.6%28 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Under51c293.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.962857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over51c260.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1335036%18 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.52864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109231.5%29 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.437557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7af9…7ce4backed Over49c228.57$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Under52c214.37$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.082250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over50c202$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10142862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over40c201.75$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.710046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10611448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Over37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfe…8aaebacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over52c191.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under53c188.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.254136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under55c172.35$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.568662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Over47c163.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.712536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b80…a0d2backed Over48c155.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.523863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c153.84$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.941,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6925553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Over52c145$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.42060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over51c137.82$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Over52c132.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…2f17backed Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over32c124.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.226158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.226058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.