Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80f01bc777c27c72a02923d52dacfac29ceb1abb9a4f00a44ea3a8e7780ce2a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 73c | 34,034$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,033.73 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 26c | 17,608$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.21 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 27c | 10,463$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.01 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 13c | 7,658$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 28c | 6,536$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.25 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 6,336$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.94 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 23c | 5,913$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.53 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 73c | 3,618$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.76 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 73c | 2,694$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.33 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 80c | 2,500$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.33 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 27c | 500$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Under | 74c | 406.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 28c | 359.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 308$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 29c | 281.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 29c | 243.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 29c | 157$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 74c | 135.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 24c | 116.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Over | 27c | 115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…c461backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 27c | 80.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Over | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 74c | 70.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 28c | 64.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Under | 74c | 50.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…f87dbacked Under | 73c | 24.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked Under | 74c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.