Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03fbc877140ab7d1d3c0c294469a8eac7e55ef8f83ef7aaa4cd493346565e36e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 41c | 45,275$18,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,523.62 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 39c | 38,370$14,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,950.57 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 59c | 19,045$11,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,236.4 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 18,592$11,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6655backed Under | 50c | 12,949$6,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,474.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 59c | 8,865$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Over | 46c | 6,813$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.81 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 43c | 5,160$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 3,081$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.11 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.99 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 2,197$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.01 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 57c | 1,815$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.44 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 42c | 1,616$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.56 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.98 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Under | 43c | 1,450$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.73 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed Under | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 56c | 1,279$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.75 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 59c | 1,258$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.36 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 59c | 1,098$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.3 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 1,086$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 57c | 1,055$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.27 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 41c | 1,029$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 59c | 884.28$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Over | 58c | 862.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked Over | 59c | 818.64$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 728.22$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.3 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 77c | 716.1$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 45c | 666.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.09 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 60c | 575$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Over | 54c | 485.19$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Under | 43c | 469.02$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.07 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 58c | 459.09$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 59c | 397.34$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.43 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 387.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…0f59backed Under | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 58c | 348.28$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Over | 59c | 320.52$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Over | 8c | 320.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…f196backed Over | 57c | 320$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 32c | 313.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 58c | 276.03$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…bcabbacked Over | 59c | 254.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 230.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 36c | 196.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4675…d7d0backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…1bb1backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb662…375dbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…81d7backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 35c | 170.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…b60ebacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 58c | 165.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 61c | 162$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…e3d9backed Over | 59c | 157.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 40c | 156.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…b707backed Under | 43c | 140.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Over | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 59c | 128.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Over | 38c | 123.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Over | 58c | 122.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0ad1backed Over | 58c | 111.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 25c | 107.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 59c | 105.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Under | 43c | 103.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 59c | 102$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…c7febacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 60c | 99.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…4350backed Over | 58c | 97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…2f17backed Under | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Over | 19c | 86.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 71c | 84.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Over | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 68c | 77.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.