TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c170,093$86,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,632.76,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4f6…8e52backed Over43c108,870$47,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,225.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over52c27,041$14,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,061.326142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over52c19,000$9,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,88012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under40c11,499$4,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,857.912,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Over51c4,480$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.632429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over64c2,120$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3521850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0403658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Over52c1,917$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over79c1,646$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under18c1,616$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.1215952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under19c1,500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.9860728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under66c1,450$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.941,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under72c1,427$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.5612042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…f3b8backed Over76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over51c1,019$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.551323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under17c985.49$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.9651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c970.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.012,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over51c787.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3911142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over52c766.3$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.332556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c667.47$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.074,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked Over63c623.3$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.711656.3%9 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick75cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over57c573.9$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3277045.7%32 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under18c569$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.341,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under24c485.53$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.841,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb48f…079ebacked Under54c435.04$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24c3…adfbbacked Over52c385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Over9c361.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.437317.8%13 W · 60 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-66.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under17c333.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6516863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under20c317.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.591,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over55c301.77$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9513450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89bf…2c66backed Under20c300$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.53930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over72c278.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over75c260.8$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955461.1%33 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under78c256.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.428662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over43c255.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under18c249$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.911,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under61c229.28$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0874156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Over51c209.8$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c206.53$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10355654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0810058%58 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under18c200.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2422834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88be…2272backed Under25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Under18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1644240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Over50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under50c171.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under52c165.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7942658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under15c165.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6313054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.58122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Over72c150$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.617017.6%30 W · 140 L-27.5wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-60.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over68c145$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.051747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over54c126.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.289152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over38c118.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef2…50e0backed Over69c116$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.041668.8%11 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over53c107.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf18…7a1abacked Under49c105.27$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.692161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7639561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Over80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017254.1%93 W · 79 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over35c99.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4832822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under64c99.56$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0729041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over75c95$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.98259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7df7…d1a2backed Over17c87.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406245.2%28 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d00…a6f3backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb37…0e37backed Under56c74.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512647.6%60 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Under21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4336036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Under18c67.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.46450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+178.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under35c67.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5539052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Under20c63.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.316038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac53…187ebacked Over64c62.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under19c54.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4119239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbf…98b6backed Over75c51.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.421866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Under48c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.231040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2990…da92backed Over76c39.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303070%21 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f8…97b3backed Under72c37.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.543464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over58c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9614845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over52c35.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.374761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.115740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2f7…3f1fbacked Over73c32.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b5…5b12backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-71.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.112159.5%72 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over43c27.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8812048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Over76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204358.1%25 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over49c24.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.244422.7%10 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a67…c830backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bdf…f939backed Under66c19.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.581369.2%9 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.