Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e645dab917e772c00be861ddac9df2112c77ec9ca45cf37ef57387b0898b3a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunderland AFCof Manchester City FC, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC | 65c | 16,472$10,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,723.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…2b15backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 13,176$5,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,971.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sunderland AFC | 67c | 9,133$6,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.92 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Manchester City FC | 31c | 8,553$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.61 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 7,442$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.03 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sunderland AFC | 65c | 6,770$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.25 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sunderland AFC | 57c | 6,096$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.25 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 5,001$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.75 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Sunderland AFC | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.93 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Sunderland AFC | 54c | 3,728$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.03 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sunderland AFC | 55c | 2,205$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.37 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Sunderland AFC | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sunderland AFC | 64c | 1,901$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 1,527$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.73 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 1,512$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Manchester City FC | 42c | 1,465$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.17 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 1,092$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.61 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sunderland AFC | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.79 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sunderland AFC | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 951.77$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.26 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -11.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…ffb2backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 895.45$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…bac1backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3891backed Sunderland AFC | 57c | 760$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…5f79backed Sunderland AFC | 57c | 740$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…7a62backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 636.36$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Sunderland AFC | 55c | 606.8$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.3 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 604.65$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 594.24$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Manchester City FC | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…0cc9backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 494.52$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Sunderland AFC | 59c | 425.59$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 358.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Sunderland AFC | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Manchester City FC | 32c | 305$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Manchester City FC | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 280$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Sunderland AFC | 58c | 271.63$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…d976backed Sunderland AFC | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 232.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 232.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 230$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…6e0cbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 223.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…6c6bbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 219.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…63b3backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 218.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…995bbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 218.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Sunderland AFC | 58c | 201.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Sunderland AFC | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Manchester City FC | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 197.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Manchester City FC | 21c | 190.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 185.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Manchester City FC | 19c | 176.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 147.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…bc95backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Sunderland AFC | 51c | 101.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Sunderland AFC | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 99.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 98.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Sunderland AFC | 69c | 94.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8871…5163backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 89.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 57cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…8defbacked Sunderland AFC | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…2aa8backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 87.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Manchester City FC | 32c | 84.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe2…e839backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 82.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Manchester City FC | 21c | 73.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 71.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Manchester City FC | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Sunderland AFC | 55c | 64.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Sunderland AFC | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Sunderland AFC | 57c | 60.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Sunderland AFC | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Sunderland AFC | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.