Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd6423088dc305c2f3c334d46115573e4e64507f228712122415713b74acc685

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $397,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $420,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,171 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	57c	161,970$92,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,184.09	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-7.7wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	44c	93,975$40,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,923.14	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	42c	29,173$12,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,267.04	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	45c	23,555$10,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,485.69	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over	57c	23,531$13,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,088.84	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under	45c	18,000$8,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,099.98	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	51c	15,884$8,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,100.81	277	50.9%141 W · 136 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under	43c	14,000$6,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,020	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-7.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over	49c	11,849$5,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,045.96	110	29.1%32 W · 78 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Under	53c	7,595$4,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,032.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Under	46c	7,500$3,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,450	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Over	49c	7,159$3,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,651.09	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over	56c	7,138$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,138.17	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under	42c	7,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,939.98	138	52.2%72 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	58c	6,530$3,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,722.19	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under	42c	5,223$2,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,195.77	219	65.3%143 W · 76 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Under	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-6.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over	56c	4,973$2,804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,169.37	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	55c	4,745$2,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,136.47	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	45c	4,629$2,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,071.77	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under	43c	4,545$1,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,954.39	124	48.4%60 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over	50c	3,332$1,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,666.05	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…cc8ebacked Under	46c	3,233$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed Under	62c	3,129$1,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,951.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	59c	2,999$1,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,230.97	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	41c	2,506$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.65	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	43c	2,500$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074.99	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	258	36%93 W · 165 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	68	57.4%39 W · 29 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under	46c	1,949$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.54	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe733…0accbacked Under	48c	1,882$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over	66c	1,882$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632.41	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under	42c	1,667$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.14	245	66.1%162 W · 83 L	+24.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Under	45c	1,614$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.51	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	33cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over	64c	1,563$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.5	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	45c	1,499$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.65	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	42c	1,498$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.27	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under	42c	1,200$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under	43c	1,000$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	201	40.8%82 W · 119 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca2…79abbacked Under	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	55c	940$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under	46c	876.53$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.67	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Over	58c	862.07$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.07	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over	59c	847.46$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.46	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Over	57c	763.16$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.16	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-10.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	45c	721.98$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.83	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	50c	707.4$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.67	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under	42c	700$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over	56c	686.06$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.46	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over	59c	677.97$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.97	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Under	49c	666.26$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-7.9wins	-0.17per pick	56cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Under	43c	663.77$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.42	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.23per pick	46cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over	56c	612.04$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.3	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under	45c	577.78$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under	44c	573.05$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.74	240	47.5%114 W · 126 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over	69c	528.99$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.99	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked Over	59c	508.47$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.47	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Over	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under	45c	499.99$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.99	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over	59c	486.46$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.45	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Over	54c	480$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221	58	25.9%15 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under	45c	462.04$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.32	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under	65c	459.83$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.5	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	67c	438.81$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.81	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef42…5d27backed Over	56c	429.51$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.98	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+42%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over	50c	419.64$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.82	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over	55c	401.42$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.64	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over	52c	400$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Over	52c	400$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over	52c	385$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.55	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over	53c	377.76$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.76	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	43c	376.63$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.95	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	43c	374.33$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.74	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over	54c	371.07$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.69	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under	45c	368.65$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.24	118	46.6%55 W · 63 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under	58c	358$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.49	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Over	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.23per pick	64cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4675…d7d0backed Over	55c	356.36$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.36	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Under	47c	314.89$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	42cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under	46c	307.34$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.8	409	53.3%218 W · 191 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	55c	306$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over	54c	300$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	55c	300$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	193	57.5%111 W · 82 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under	45c	281.19$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.59	271	41.7%113 W · 158 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ef…fd79backed Over	41c	280.49$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.49	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cee…0ad1backed Over	57c	280$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.4	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	60cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	57c	275.44$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.44	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over	55c	274.17$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.38	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x92fa…7d02backed Over	38c	260$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Over	58c	258.62$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.62	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90d1…be02backed Over	46c	250$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.5	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	56c	233.05$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.54	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	44c	208$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.52	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.09	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5this page
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event