Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf21a4e6878cb380c24f035391f954f21de7a6c8e99df0f75acca2549e34b19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 68c | 45,677$30,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,742.71 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 36c | 40,458$14,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,370.45 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 67c | 35,775$23,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,796.72 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 32c | 32,052$10,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.08 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 7,193$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Under | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 70c | 5,999$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.84 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 34c | 5,576$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.76 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 35c | 3,282$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.32 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 65c | 2,761$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.96 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 73c | 1,477$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.98 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 32c | 1,019$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.56 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 64c | 938.22$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.41 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 35c | 762.77$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.97 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 74c | 717.89$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 9c | 599$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…0accbacked Over | 25c | 552.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 34c | 501.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.58 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 29c | 477.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…bbf9backed Under | 67c | 456.94$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 433.86$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.76 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Under | 67c | 423.88$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…51e2backed Under | 73c | 415.04$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 31c | 406.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.22 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 66c | 301$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 295.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…c16abacked Over | 35c | 268.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked Under | 68c | 220.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 215.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 21c | 206.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed Under | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…3ff1backed Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 74c | 167$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 68c | 148$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 14c | 146.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 67c | 133$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 34c | 126$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 33c | 106.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed Over | 26c | 101$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 66c | 99.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…4386backed Over | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 27c | 79.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…0641backed Under | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3d…341abacked Over | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 31c | 56.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…8ae4backed Over | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fe62backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Over | 33c | 35.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Under | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 34c | 33.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…4763backed Under | 67c | 32.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…7052backed Under | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 33c | 31.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 69c | 30.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e6…23e4backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf914…4a78backed Under | 77c | 29.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…8efbbacked Under | 69c | 18.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…4492backed Under | 71c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.