MLB · resolved market
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b2c64ee43bc13fcfa20f4be73ca238e8e5b2b229888997de57525748b900974
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16ff…b518backed Yes | 50c | 36,097$18,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,048.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…f46cbacked No | 50c | 36,097$18,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,048.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…9930backed Yes | 60c | 33,956$20,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,582.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…2af9backed No | 40c | 33,956$13,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,582.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb6…f761backed Yes | 50c | 23,355$11,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,677.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…40edbacked No | 50c | 23,355$11,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,677.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…d302backed Yes | 49c | 18,256$8,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,310.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…0c5bbacked No | 51c | 18,256$9,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,310.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yes | 77c | 9,650$7,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.5 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…bb3fbacked No | 30c | 6,576$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 62c | 5,612$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.71 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 55c | 5,439$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.22 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 47c | 4,169$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.64 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed No | 6c | 3,775$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked No | 15c | 3,000$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.44 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,742$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 49c | 2,369$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked No | 42c | 2,341$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.85 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed No | 7c | 2,280$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…aaffbacked Yes | 73c | 2,024$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 58c | 1,929$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.34 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec6…cd1fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,552$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed No | 9c | 1,503$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…4513backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…8ffcbacked Yes | 73c | 1,361$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.58 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…b4d8backed Yes | 59c | 1,359$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 16c | 1,252$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.61 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 56c | 1,032$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 20c | 969.41$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 69c | 875.63$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 75c | 856.03$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.07 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 16c | 807.19$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 50c | 666.97$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 13c | 652.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 22c | 624.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed Yes | 78c | 543.99$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed No | 49c | 523$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 5c | 522.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 78c | 500.3$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 29c | 498$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked No | 20c | 497.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 49c | 451$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.49 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 66c | 444$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 4c | 410.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…7a1cbacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked No | 31c | 385.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed No | 10c | 335.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 51c | 333.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 52c | 320$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…7c8cbacked Yes | 74c | 305.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 64c | 286$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…271cbacked Yes | 36c | 276$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 75c | 274.03$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 78c | 261.7$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 35c | 260$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 79c | 250$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 22c | 247.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 56c | 225.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 25c | 222.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked Yes | 69c | 214.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 42c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…c7b9backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 70c | 199.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked No | 17c | 188.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…e845backed Yes | 70c | 188.49$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…20ebbacked Yes | 43c | 185.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…cedbbacked Yes | 54c | 182.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 68c | 180$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 44c | 164.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 69c | 152.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 18c | 141.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…3bb2backed Yes | 75c | 132.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2193…6cd6backed Yes | 78c | 124.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…ddc6backed Yes | 63c | 121.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 21c | 118$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…973ebacked No | 17c | 117.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed No | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 47c | 114$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…7b02backed Yes | 71c | 102.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 72c | 100.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6d…e289backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c1…8d30backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Yes | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842f…1399backed Yes | 75c | 93.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 71c | 79.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 17c | 77.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…5350backed Yes | 79c | 74.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed No | 34c | 69.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…274cbacked Yes | 79c | 65.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?this page
- Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Mike Trout win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Rafael Devers win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Wyatt Langford win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.