MLB · resolved market
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec945970095d6e3ae85366be5b64bf8cadef3400b24affc466819163804d9920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes | 47c | 16,759$7,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,870.84 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 14c | 11,767$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.73 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 53c | 10,086$5,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.85 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Yes | 5c | 7,289$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Yes | 6c | 5,053$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 36c | 4,820$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.71 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 4,741$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.47 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 6c | 4,655$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 35c | 3,500$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 76c | 3,378$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.6 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Yes | 43c | 3,145$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…3cc7backed Yes | 44c | 3,036$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 69c | 2,862$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.7 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed Yes | 31c | 2,410$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yes | 50c | 2,348$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.43 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 11c | 1,893$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.33 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…2686backed Yes | 40c | 1,748$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes | 61c | 1,738$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.86 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…973ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,547$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,490$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…94f5backed Yes | 41c | 1,439$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.65 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…2a74backed Yes | 18c | 1,106$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 27c | 830.6$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…a3f4backed No | 65c | 740.54$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 5c | 727.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571b…34cfbacked Yes | 26c | 712.67$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…74efbacked Yes | 3c | 709.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d73…bae7backed Yes | 33c | 667.67$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…3141backed Yes | 5c | 634.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 22c | 628.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 617.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 29c | 523$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.67 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…7dbebacked Yes | 27c | 519.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 61c | 509.14$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 50c | 500$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Yes | 29c | 500$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…ba38backed Yes | 4c | 485.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfd…8c23backed Yes | 5c | 467.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 9c | 450$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…b99bbacked Yes | 6c | 437.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Yes | 23c | 412.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes | 42c | 404.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Yes | 68c | 403.49$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.34 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked Yes | 38c | 394.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes | 43c | 365$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 40c | 365$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…d8efbacked No | 80c | 353.3$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6194…95b6backed Yes | 51c | 348.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 55c | 342.1$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…94aebacked Yes | 31c | 326.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57c…afc6backed Yes | 66c | 308.92$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…96f9backed Yes | 22c | 300.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…bd47backed No | 71c | 296.57$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…e290backed Yes | 7c | 293.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…fd68backed Yes | 7c | 290.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 28c | 277.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…6e84backed Yes | 25c | 261$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 61c | 260.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 41c | 233.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…ef5dbacked Yes | 33c | 229$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…846bbacked Yes | 18c | 224.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Yes | 49c | 221.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…9f79backed Yes | 28c | 204.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…06d9backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…ec06backed No | 70c | 193$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 6c | 188.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Yes | 28c | 182.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked No | 70c | 176.76$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa310…4c56backed Yes | 46c | 176.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Yes | 29c | 173.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Yes | 27c | 169.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8f7ebacked No | 76c | 161$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 71c | 160.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…5799backed No | 69c | 159$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Yes | 32c | 155.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 69c | 155.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…4806backed Yes | 33c | 150.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 29c | 149.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…20ebbacked Yes | 34c | 145.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 78c | 142.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…264dbacked Yes | 30c | 132.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 28c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1848…e3dcbacked Yes | 60c | 117.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4729…631abacked Yes | 29c | 107.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…d750backed Yes | 19c | 102.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 58c | 100.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…d4ecbacked Yes | 27c | 100.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…9446backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 15c | 99.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Yes | 50c | 99.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Yes | 22c | 97.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…6130backed Yes | 26c | 94.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 34c | 87.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…8547backed Yes | 57c | 80.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Yes | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?this page
- Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?Yes won
- Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Mike Trout win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Rafael Devers win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Wyatt Langford win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
- Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2025 AL MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.