TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes16c9,498$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.442317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-58.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes19c8,320$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6201526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf498…3bcbbacked Yes37c6,741$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c6,088$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.611,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c13…99c5backed Yes5c5,003$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes4c3,269$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dfd…6a46backed Yes13c3,118$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.62714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-75.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e35…6c7fbacked Yes13c3,023$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8803…eb1dbacked No76c2,399$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.711435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes13c1,993$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-65.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x126f…7137backed No69c1,742$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.411346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf833…4381backed Yes3c1,693$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140b…d5c3backed Yes11c1,412$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x436d…68e5backed Yes18c1,281$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4e…d609backed No76c1,152$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+91.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a31…e2efbacked Yes7c1,151$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No79c1,144$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-68.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf493…f4f6backed Yes19c1,000$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189329.4%3 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x189e…0434backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec6…cd1fbacked No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c82…5e00backed Yes15c978.44$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes5c975.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.141693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1352…4da4backed Yes41c968.35$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes16c915.92$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.44520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x894d…6916backed Yes10c904.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked No76c820$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.64621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5296…1077backed No77c762.79$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No71c731.24$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes4c700$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267219.4%14 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e2d…05e4backed Yes38c675.53$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Yes37c576.95$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.24216.7%7 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes7c569.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes4c520.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.532125.7%12 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca4…003ebacked Yes19c513.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502e…ddd6backed Yes20c512.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5db…ccc0backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No56c400$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1747327.4%20 W · 53 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6305…9d0bbacked No76c392.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes7c376.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.821203.3%4 W · 116 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeafb…3179backed No77c365.68$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes15c341.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes5c314.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281073.7%4 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf245…1df4backed No77c309.99$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.32520%5 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes11c307.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.071233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a65…0143backed Yes20c304.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes9c300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281431.4%2 W · 141 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11463.4%5 W · 141 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ed…079abacked Yes64c299.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed No71c288.36$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.34728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-48%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed No69c287.91$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66b…0b8bbacked Yes15c258.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8860%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb595…0f5abacked Yes13c255.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c40…38eebacked Yes43c231.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes25c229.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.331523.8%75 W · 240 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda7a…d321backed Yes47c211.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18781.3%1 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick6cpaid-86.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7469…8ebbbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe920…b977backed Yes36c186.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdf…fcddbacked Yes29c182.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Yes13c180$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.43212.5%4 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc31f…91b0backed No58c176$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.921040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a82…2397backed No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe62a…742cbacked No65c170$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+120.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes47c158.79$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.463324.2%8 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-50.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81db…aec9backed No77c156$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes49c154.85$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.355332.1%17 W · 36 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-45.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e66…d1c2backed Yes16c152.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.83425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6561…c074backed Yes8c144.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.021154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6616…b8bebacked Yes21c142.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73dc…8d32backed Yes33c139.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6978…08d8backed No50c131.03$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.021060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8926…5aacbacked Yes28c120$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-87.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d55…a7ddbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed Yes36c116.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes16c113.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2312722%28 W · 99 L-19.5wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-52.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3c12…405dbacked Yes10c105.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x210c…2edabacked No62c104.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.298100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed No58c101$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.423275%24 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc36a…be63backed No38c100.71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…7cd3backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503318.2%6 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b1a…b2b6backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…e7e6backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303834.2%13 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3250%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb30b…ad9dbacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes15c98.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.591546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeef…4164backed Yes31c97.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes15c96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.563842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes16c93.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed Yes23c90.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.467549.3%37 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d7…868bbacked No76c85.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes19c81.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed No49c75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.253013.3%4 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-63.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a7…2676backed No54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed No73c71.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x23cb…658ebacked Yes48c62.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed Yes46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5406…0449backed Yes39c51.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.