TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 143.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$589,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$591,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,571 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c454,559$236,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236,349.7835945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c250,000$120,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,0009860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over48c120,000$57,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,40021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c64,599$32,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,532.3489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under51c45,373$22,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,943.5978155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c25,195$12,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,101.161,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over55c8,000$4,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.6512754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c7,819$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,889.861,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c7,733$3,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.9890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over52c4,615$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.085044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c4,539$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.6912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over51c3,187$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.453063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over52c2,899$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.5221248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over54c2,769$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.1718548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under49c2,632$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.527955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under49c2,014$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.9528539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00016954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.987337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under49c1,291$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.786758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under45c1,172$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.2322953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3955749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3f…9b74backed Over53c814.47$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over53c705$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.4541752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under50c679.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9930249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over50c599.74$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.878341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23038645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c452.62$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8769350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.516051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under51c436.77$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6441354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19682048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c354.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1644,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under47c351$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.977245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.146848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over50c270$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c182.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.495,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over50c177.81$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9111159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd312…9c31backed Over57c174.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e0e…1512backed Under50c140.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under46c138$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.861,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over50c132.28$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1410049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.28750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c116.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.254,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over50c115.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.619657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2664322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.345949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over50c91.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.897447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.23860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.479947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Over53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.911147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3544146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Over52c61.02$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.293554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over50c58.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.397251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Over50c57.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under51c52.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over51c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8729442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Over50c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.515950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Over50c40.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.344951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.262753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Over50c38.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.483554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8678052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67d…cb3bbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0428354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over51c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.312748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under50c33.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713852.2%72 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3335050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c31.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.817258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.74868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Over54c27.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Over53c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.534544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under46c23.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9517943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Over50c23.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5212560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12f7…c7fabacked Under47c22.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.425046%23 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d58…4af0backed Over51c21.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Over49c21.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.849257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Over49c20.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.615763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a92…ebe3backed Over50c20.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e35…0dd5backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ea…dcf4backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.634952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.