Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beach
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6cdb3e7499ad250172dfaec944e1b25886c8f1b8ef161a6b9dc11e8e98f98eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchosof UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, Long Beach State Beach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Long Beach State Beach | 18c | 4,830$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5925…e994backed Long Beach State Beach | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 79c | 2,943$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.21 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 65c | 2,475$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.92 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Long Beach State Beach | 19c | 1,811$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 68c | 1,808$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.67 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Long Beach State Beach | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Long Beach State Beach | 23c | 1,182$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed Long Beach State Beach | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 35c | 989.12$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.3 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Long Beach State Beach | 25c | 678$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.18 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Long Beach State Beach | 5c | 502.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 34c | 461.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Long Beach State Beach | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Long Beach State Beach | 35c | 238.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 78c | 224.43$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Long Beach State Beach | 23c | 222.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 14c | 207.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 182.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 58c | 179$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 170.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 58c | 145.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Long Beach State Beach | 24c | 113$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 78c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 78cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Long Beach State Beach | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beachthis page
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 143.5Over won
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 144.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.