Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x240b006f4c90b1038e7016fb27199246eb1fefa7dfeb2c195d3578d0d8215dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cornell Big Redof Cornell Big Red, Brown Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b3f…9b74backed Brown Bears | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Brown Bears | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Cornell Big Red | 56c | 2,382$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.9 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cornell Big Red | 72c | 1,654$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.6 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Brown Bears | 3c | 844.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cornell Big Red | 56c | 644$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.36 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Brown Bears | 6c | 601.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Brown Bears | 13c | 599.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Brown Bears | 23c | 511.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cornell Big Red | 77c | 488.49$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brown Bears | 34c | 357.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Brown Bears | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Brown Bears | 7c | 281.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Brown Bears | 23c | 263.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cornell Big Red | 68c | 250.13$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cornell Big Red | 70c | 190.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Brown Bears | 15c | 177.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Brown Bears | 16c | 160.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Cornell Big Red | 77c | 151.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Brown Bears | 44c | 147$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cornell Big Red | 56c | 119$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Brown Bears | 44c | 112.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…2d99backed Brown Bears | 31c | 100.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brown Bears | 11c | 94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Brown Bears | 11c | 93.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Cornell Big Red | 56c | 88.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cornell Big Red | 64c | 74.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Brown Bears | 45c | 72.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Brown Bears | 33c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cornell Big Red | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cornell Big Red | 70c | 50.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Brown Bears | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brown Bears | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cornell Big Red | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Brown Bears | 28c | 48.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Cornell Big Red | 64c | 33.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ed…b908backed Cornell Big Red | 55c | 30.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…8da0backed Brown Bears | 45c | 30.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Cornell Big Red | 73c | 26.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…42efbacked Cornell Big Red | 55c | 25.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x319d…6f66backed Brown Bears | 45c | 25.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Brown Bears | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Brown Bears | 45c | 24.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cornell Big Red | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cornell Big Red | 69c | 17.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bearsthis page
- Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 162.5Under won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 163.5Under won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Cornell Big Red (-2.5)Cornell Big Red won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.