Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e11c7d788f305dd058ea21b6af5fdb870fe1e2113171835ff4f2ff9d100492c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $562,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $563,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 517,908$253,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253,765.18 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 350,000$178,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,500 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 34,995$17,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,147.38 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 54c | 25,028$13,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,388.76 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 45c | 13,101$5,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.28 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.51 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 8,708$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Under | 53c | 4,689$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.61 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 46c | 2,840$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 1,995$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.77 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 47c | 1,370$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.18 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 960.05$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 629.18$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 55c | 408.37$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 53c | 369.81$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Under | 54c | 349.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 53c | 319.32$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 13c | 307.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 45c | 288.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…9b74backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 144$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 131.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 55c | 67.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 51c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 53c | 28.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 22.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Under | 54c | 22.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 19.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 167.5this page
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 165.5Under won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-4.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-5.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.