Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6943d5ec0ce5a48c30f6574efc75b27354249a214d1d6300137bc4ba52aabda5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 12,763$6,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,508.4 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 51c | 6,767$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.52 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 6,563$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.53 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 5,263$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 2,141$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.21 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 1,643$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 49c | 1,017$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.53 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 49c | 652.86$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.76 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 51c | 585.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.68 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 478$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 470$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.82 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 50c | 415.12$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 52c | 325.23$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 154.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 50c | 123$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 122$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 50c | 96.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 51c | 74.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Over | 52c | 74.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 50c | 73.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 64.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Over | 48c | 54.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 51c | 47.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 49c | 41.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 49c | 34.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Under | 52c | 33.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 32.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 51c | 25.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…cce8backed Under | 51c | 22.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 49c | 21.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5281…0f17backed Over | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 20.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 166.5this page
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 165.5Under won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-4.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-5.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.