Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a5a8cf3568fb9a8aa3fdfd4b0d55c8407aace80076832b866940bba68eca65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof South Florida Bulls, Florida Atlantic Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 200,013$103,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,006.75 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed South Florida Bulls | 49c | 171,871$83,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,104.12 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed South Florida Bulls | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 50c | 44,438$22,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,219.21 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 30,312$15,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,156.42 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 17,500$8,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,925 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 16,442$8,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,272.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.98 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 5,672$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed South Florida Bulls | 48c | 5,188$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.88 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed South Florida Bulls | 51c | 4,871$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.56 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 49c | 4,477$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.61 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Florida Bulls | 49c | 3,357$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed South Florida Bulls | 45c | 3,092$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.8 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed South Florida Bulls | 51c | 1,675$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.51 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked South Florida Bulls | 48c | 1,449$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.35 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 50c | 1,228$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed South Florida Bulls | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Florida Bulls | 48c | 888.78$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.97 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 588.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 325.23$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed South Florida Bulls | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 134.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 50c | 119.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 54c | 112.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 58.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed South Florida Bulls | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ed…86afbacked South Florida Bulls | 48c | 41.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 35.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 30.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed South Florida Bulls | 47c | 29.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed South Florida Bulls | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 24.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked South Florida Bulls | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 76c | 13.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-5.5)this page
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 165.5Under won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 166.5Under won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-4.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.