TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: South Florida Bulls (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Florida Bullsof South Florida Bulls, Florida Atlantic Owls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,141,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,142,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,141,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe20a…e469backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c550,363$261,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,881.199860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed South Florida Bulls52c458,247$238,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219,958.5435945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed South Florida Bulls53c270,712$142,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,728.034454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked South Florida Bulls53c177,711$94,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,524.489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Florida Atlantic Owls47c138,452$65,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,072.2169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,0008246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls51c59,102$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls47c50,000$23,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,3001921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-53.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c35,300$16,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,940.831,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed South Florida Bulls54c30,864$16,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,197.5374649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls52c25,292$13,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,089.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Florida Atlantic Owls48c25,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked South Florida Bulls53c20,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,499.9913649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls47c18,777$8,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,850.9590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c11,544$5,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,541.0521262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls48c10,502$5,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,040.7213154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls53c10,086$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,772.035,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Florida Atlantic Owls46c7,500$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed South Florida Bulls55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.3614654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked South Florida Bulls52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6809250%46 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed South Florida Bulls54c3,293$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.5918650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Florida Atlantic Owls46c2,711$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.914654.1%79 W · 67 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c2,700$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.9989850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Florida Atlantic Owls46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.99850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Florida Atlantic Owls50c1,654$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.0244146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked South Florida Bulls53c1,569$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.374,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed South Florida Bulls53c1,350$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.584147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked South Florida Bulls54c1,348$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.947234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked South Florida Bulls54c1,112$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.561,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Florida Atlantic Owls47c1,100$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Florida Atlantic Owls47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed South Florida Bulls52c965.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.765945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed South Florida Bulls52c912.28$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.0811354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed South Florida Bulls54c663.32$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.985,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed South Florida Bulls54c559.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8121347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c547.12$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6216755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c479.17$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked South Florida Bulls54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3727045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed South Florida Bulls54c341.92$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.782048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Florida Atlantic Owls50c337.74$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.879543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Florida Atlantic Owls46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls49c308.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Florida Atlantic Owls49c231$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.064266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Florida Atlantic Owls47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x748b…988cbacked South Florida Bulls51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Florida Atlantic Owls47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked South Florida Bulls51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0719555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Florida Atlantic Owls47c158.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0166831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Atlantic Owls50c152.94$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.474,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed South Florida Bulls52c140.95$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.665642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c138.46$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4619848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Florida Atlantic Owls50c123.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.62965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls49c122.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked South Florida Bulls50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Florida Atlantic Owls49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed South Florida Bulls50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Florida Atlantic Owls48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.66159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed South Florida Bulls55c67.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2732652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked South Florida Bulls54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2334952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Florida Atlantic Owls49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed South Florida Bulls53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Florida Atlantic Owls49c42.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.783366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e59…b497backed South Florida Bulls50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+78.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c39.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2519653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c39.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8712054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb8…846ebacked South Florida Bulls53c38.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.992657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Florida Atlantic Owls53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed South Florida Bulls56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7115559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed South Florida Bulls53c34.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1821342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Florida Atlantic Owls50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.517943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f0…8646backed Florida Atlantic Owls49c32.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed South Florida Bulls49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.614045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed South Florida Bulls53c28.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.38556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x417b…18d3backed Florida Atlantic Owls48c27.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.061637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked South Florida Bulls54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9631666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed South Florida Bulls50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.510464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddfb…acaabacked Florida Atlantic Owls49c24.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls50c24.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2417661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.