Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e55028cd6138e7dc57d44f713cdc19fb29287f670d7a2151091cabd70744b02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 48c | 1,067$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 535.09$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 55c | 496$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 51c | 388.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Under | 72c | 207.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 39c | 152.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 53c | 111$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Under | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 44c | 40.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 39.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Under | 48c | 38.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de7ebacked Over | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 165.5this page
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 166.5Under won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-4.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-5.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.