TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-01-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No43c62,602$26,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,888.072759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes57c26,906$15,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,578.881,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes57c15,094$8,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,487.382,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No33c11,915$3,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,931.9916045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed No43c5,257$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Yes56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.971050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes55c4,078$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.133244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes56c3,954$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.574963.3%31 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No43c3,886$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.8278248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes57c3,632$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.4544749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes57c3,510$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.271353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c3,018$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.783,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c2,939$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.691,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No44c2,625$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.2756547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes75c2,625$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.2955058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes58c2,039$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.3217549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1fe…3de9backed No1c1,460$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No31c1,328$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6453645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Yes58c1,156$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.351546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Yes76c1,059$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes73c883.4$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5217652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No23c770.5$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.127722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Yes56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes80c653$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.644655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes57c650$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.59854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes79c613.33$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9519458.2%113 W · 81 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes57c609.54$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.543369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes76c602.41$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5815064%96 W · 54 L+25.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005044%22 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No43c420.85$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8631145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c393.31$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1351136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Yes57c361.78$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.41683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3f…9b74backed Yes59c339.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes72c330$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.411252.7%59 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No45c300$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.548658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No42c265.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.515433.3%18 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Yes58c259.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.233259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked Yes58c252.93$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.231250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes58c250.85$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.367230.6%22 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes57c249.98$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.496136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes56c216$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.948939.3%35 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b08…8f40backed No45c207.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Yes56c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8622829.4%67 W · 161 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes57c192.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9834547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked No44c183.4$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0028…fdc6backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No42c164.28$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No44c164.24$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.178852.3%46 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e2…1c70backed Yes59c160.14$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No21c157.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.957757.1%44 W · 33 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No40c148.05$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.224151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes57c145.81$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.710128.7%29 W · 72 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed No15c131.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-84.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.311060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No35c122.62$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0414934.9%52 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cba…c635backed Yes75c115.07$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7172…4cf3backed No45c111.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+50.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa92…5016backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ec…27aebacked Yes57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed Yes58c98.47$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes57c98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.147452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Yes57c88.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.052060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No45c86.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.062343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72c0…d9ffbacked No18c85.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes59c85.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.172774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No26c81.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3711931.1%37 W · 82 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes59c78.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2653140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf33…ab3ebacked Yes57c77.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.294959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Yes58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24161%25 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed Yes56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x929a…9812backed Yes58c58.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522562.2%140 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc3…6112backed No44c56.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af2…3b47backed No43c54.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.58636%31 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145836.2%21 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No42c49.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9914539.3%57 W · 88 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No44c48.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6618746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209451.1%48 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes57c39.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.25137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes57c38.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.526558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+73.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Yes58c38.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.069551.6%49 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…cc89backed No45c37.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Yes58c36.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.48742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe0…17cbbacked No44c36.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes57c36.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6676234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d62…0a41backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd574…bfdcbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Yes58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked No45c33.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.18560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed No43c32.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.151154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.