TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,595,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,068,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,595,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes4c870,001$36,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,162.577433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes4c500,000$22,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,402.519142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes4c251,511$10,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,349.1921343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Yes0c201,152$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.22740%0 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes5c77,002$3,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.9511348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c74,589$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes4c62,512$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.572,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes3c55,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38de…f06cbacked Yes0c54,999$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.996520%13 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes4c50,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes3c43,870$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.711,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes4c41,566$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.4712825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes4c40,000$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.999642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes4c35,773$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.4167447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes2c34,408$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.1674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c33,998$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.731468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bfd…32bfbacked Yes0c33,088$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Yes3c29,566$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.478440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d4…f843backed Yes4c26,695$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.136150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes4c25,635$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.7121937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1658…d10ebacked Yes4c25,000$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.81911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes4c24,506$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1006913%9 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-58.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08d0…a85fbacked Yes5c23,825$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.441145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes5c20,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes4c20,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82012729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Yes4c19,678$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.0236250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes4c17,500$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7703855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes3c17,235$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.2479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5c…d897backed Yes4c16,370$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.73128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-51%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Yes4c15,890$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.758228%23 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes4c15,636$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.595117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes4c14,706$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.2972722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes3c12,820$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.334,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes3c12,293$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.321226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Yes1c12,273$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes3c12,133$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.156929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0439…c82bbacked Yes0c12,046$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50110%0 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes4c12,000$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.9614542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb397…a2d4backed Yes4c11,520$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.951315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes0c11,400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a37…6984backed Yes0c11,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-51.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3428…5dc0backed Yes1c11,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes5c10,870$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004721.3%10 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes5c10,668$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.743151.6%16 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick32cpaid+92.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Yes3c10,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406030%18 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447f…f362backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104628.3%13 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d77…2296backed Yes1c9,966$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68150%0 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes2c9,748$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1643835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes3c8,955$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.5465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2626…b763backed Yes4c8,032$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Yes4c7,949$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0752744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes3c7,806$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0231945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes23c7,645$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.9465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes4c7,630$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2225954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes3c7,288$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5236031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd736…3bdcbacked Yes0c7,248$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353112.9%4 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-67.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4d…8b35backed Yes4c7,241$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.13250%16 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe129…e18fbacked Yes1c7,229$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8711341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf6…4090backed Yes1c6,978$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.041513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…b6a5backed Yes5c6,844$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.921315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2d…a8c4backed Yes4c6,718$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes5c6,522$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes1c6,470$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.714214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12df…6a3dbacked Yes4c6,316$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-58.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffb…26e5backed Yes5c6,096$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.07742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa754…7ef0backed Yes4c5,974$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x763b…1744backed Yes4c5,836$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa617…1e71backed Yes1c5,733$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick6cpaid-52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Yes0c5,722$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514240.8%58 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…879fbacked Yes4c5,623$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes5c5,542$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes4c5,405$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6278…e828backed Yes4c5,263$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005424.1%13 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc900…fc47backed Yes2c5,031$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes3c5,000$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.519818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes3c4,838$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.532,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1a…8fe3backed Yes4c4,762$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Yes4c4,760$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.943930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf58…5073backed Yes4c4,617$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005626.8%15 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d0…b604backed Yes1c4,570$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49a1…eccabacked No72c4,467$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.77520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-72.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…0fa4backed Yes4c4,397$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.483718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3582…10b9backed Yes1c4,242$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506518.5%12 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-49.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes2c4,098$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6573626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes4c4,057$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.161705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bf…c046backed Yes4c3,909$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.285844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b9…1813backed Yes1c3,732$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…adc0backed Yes1c3,663$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes3c3,652$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202030%6 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes4c3,625$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.772,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x174c…9075backed Yes4c3,616$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7621…10a1backed Yes4c3,390$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe927…dc72backed Yes4c3,372$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes3c3,184$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.341,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Yes5c3,099$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.538437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes4c3,045$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.719324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Yes3c3,032$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012643.7%55 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes2c2,929$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7533337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067c…2d46backed Yes0c2,923$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes4c2,703$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014652.1%76 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.