La Liga · resolved market
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x412d19a9be32a1c7f17698ccc3e08d5aa3aeeafded8c55c1cdc5961d899b1871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 40c | 104,254$41,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,547.38 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 60c | 50,003$30,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,001.5 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Over | 39c | 10,546$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,433.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…a083backed Under | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 61c | 5,777$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 3,026$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 40c | 2,700$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 1,448$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.08 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Under | 60c | 1,005$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 40c | 739.34$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.6 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 61c | 700$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 41c | 571.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.82 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 40c | 570$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 343.12$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.87 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 40c | 248.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 195$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 58c | 173.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ead…7acebacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 39c | 140.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 61c | 131.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 61c | 123.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 61c | 115$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Over | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 61c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Over | 40c | 76.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 70.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 40c | 56.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…4a03backed Under | 62c | 42.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 53c | 41.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 59c | 38.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…3a51backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Under | 61c | 31.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 60c | 31.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…3a4abacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 61c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5this page
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.