La Liga · resolved market
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d6e8081f6aeccab15259c013533a29be29cbc253c459ac4985d75481ffa23e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 52c | 842.57$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.57 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 47c | 520.19$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 455.6$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 46c | 249.05$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 106.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked No | 54c | 103.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 52c | 94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed No | 50c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 71.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 50c | 49.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…bec4backed No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Yes | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed No | 59c | 33.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 47c | 30.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Yes | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Yes | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.