La Liga · resolved market
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22797cd5b4863a20e60c14901cd329de93fc4c8e69d128d415336da7071dd182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 67c | 107,674$72,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,533.14 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.94 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 67c | 13,680$9,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.4 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 67c | 9,966$6,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.78 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 7,355$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.7 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 67c | 6,500$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 6,284$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.02 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 64c | 6,245$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 67c | 5,081$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.89 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Over | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…a083backed Under | 33c | 2,961$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 66c | 525$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 19c | 407.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 34c | 360$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 73c | 313.7$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 66c | 301.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 66c | 291$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 34c | 290$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Under | 37c | 270.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 34c | 259.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 34c | 256.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 77c | 247.73$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 244.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 67c | 209.74$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Under | 35c | 190.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…51ecbacked Under | 34c | 170.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 64c | 159.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 33c | 156.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 67c | 148.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…f577backed Over | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…a8f9backed Under | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…4a03backed Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 66c | 64.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…f5efbacked Under | 36c | 54.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed Under | 36c | 54.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…b7d7backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Under | 35c | 42.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…9229backed Over | 67c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f54…1133backed Under | 34c | 34.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Over | 67c | 34.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Over | 67c | 32.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 72c | 25.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 73c | 23.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…4045backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 66c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…f1d4backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5this page
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.