TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,6003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes46c18,691$8,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,093.35628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c17,404$9,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,952.62,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c11,757$6,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,809.996,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No58c9,000$5,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,22050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No55c7,880$4,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,334.0116651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No60c5,598$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3314052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7504736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c4,622$3,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.132,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes42c3,874$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.9611346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No11c3,157$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2696445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7407754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c2,504$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.921,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No54c2,426$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.8124146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes44c2,317$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.7237054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No57c2,305$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.139358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes42c2,300$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.4339156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1404050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes42c1,986$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.2479650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c1,859$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.561,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes45c1,828$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.419239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes41c1,771$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.6115344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes40c1,765$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.7246551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No9c1,729$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes42c1,600$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.241,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No57c1,520$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87239948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.0222534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85520448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes58c1,366$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.82,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No57c1,100$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.9731053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No57c1,026$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.5714254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5807147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5407844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1918…06afbacked Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6503953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7669…8390backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes40c999.8$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.8820646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes35c976$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.527829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed No56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002450%12 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No58c890$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.221253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1434…bb9abacked No55c888.18$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked No55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4407833.3%26 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No54c793.66$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.576759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No9c787.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.758226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3999749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33618551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34812055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes44c590.31$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.1332453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes31c577.73$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.639042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No69c529.85$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.61,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x285e…c2f4backed No57c516.83$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+112.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No56c499.95$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9713641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0111…631dbacked Yes41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes43c472$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.479346.2%43 W · 50 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No55c370.05$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5320246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No11c367$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes41c350$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.530050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d44…2f97backed No60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes39c320$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.823531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53d3…ba87backed Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19df…25fcbacked No58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Yes42c297.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.834341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadf1…547ebacked No60c291.67$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed No58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No57c252.22$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3133753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14012060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bec…b445backed Yes41c244.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c79…1bd5backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ac…43f7backed Yes42c238.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+175.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.112748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5610345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…9f30backed Yes42c230$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No59c222$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.985752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes42c222$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No49c217.91$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes40c210$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.531861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11130050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35af…44f3backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11820144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087653.9%41 W · 35 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11611443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11411952.9%63 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11825551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9118…c83ebacked Yes36c194.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed No56c190$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.37042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b6f…be9fbacked No59c186.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-64.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No22c184.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6425530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No58c172$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7625648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.223353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes23c169.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5735743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes45c155.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8718646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.