TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes29c28,141$8,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2085628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c13,168$9,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.962,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed No72c12,305$8,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.41376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c7,512$4,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,496.024,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes41c7,299$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4501,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c2,916$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.56,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No72c1,827$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.566261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes29c1,248$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3626437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes22c1,223$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.517829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No72c1,176$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2814456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Yes3c1,110$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No71c1,007$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.4839156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes10c844.8$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c836.55$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes29c800.06$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.021520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c719.44$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.444564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No63c572.94$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.787176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes11c562.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4325530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No70c499.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.995149%25 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c318$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.281,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed No32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.52055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No59c301.69$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.698145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9017748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes28c299.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8417337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed No44c298.41$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.11966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No70c217.97$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5630050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Yes58c168.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c159.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.261,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes29c155.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9816233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05b3…70d9backed No72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes52c146.19$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3729041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcad0…d752backed Yes10c132$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked No68c121.41$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.85156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes29c119.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5920246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Yes13c118.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.064413.6%6 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No70c118.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.525551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes29c117.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes29c116$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.648943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes28c115.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a1…89f9backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe3…4766backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2316…b824backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed No30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7020840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2925339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x291e…4b6abacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52e…c2d3backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No51c87.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.267751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd1…3380backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-61.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes29c82.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8116346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ce…c9b5backed Yes29c75.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes29c73.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.320027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked No35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.439550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e30…01b0backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209335.5%33 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55f5…c20ebacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes30c67.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bac…f4d3backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes29c63.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2933753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes33c62.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3989152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes29c62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9811645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4bd…06d4backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3518841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No58c52.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2420931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3595…3292backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149460.6%57 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b5…6d52backed Yes65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf413…807abacked Yes29c48.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No72c40.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.388670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes29c37.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115234.6%18 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Yes56c37.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No44c35.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf126…8872backed Yes67c34.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.