Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 141.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d4c59356b89f8210dcd62be07fb3dbd4ec9e3e4296f11b909bba2cecdb79b0

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,047,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,246,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,047,255 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	53c	446,345$234,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211,633.28	359	45.1%162 W · 197 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under	49c	304,000$148,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148,460	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	51c	299,247$153,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146,076.5	896	45.9%411 W · 485 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under	47c	275,406$129,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129,440.99	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under	49c	80,000$39,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,200	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	48c	47,500$23,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,024.97	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	49c	9,850$4,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,826.5	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over	49c	5,932$2,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,028.32	691	42.8%296 W · 395 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	50c	4,836$2,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,422.53	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under	53c	4,500$2,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,404.53	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-4.7wins	-0.19per pick	51cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	422	46.2%195 W · 227 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under	49c	3,650$1,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,788.5	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under	53c	2,838$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	212	48.1%102 W · 110 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under	49c	2,800$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,372	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under	49c	2,770$1,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,357.3	327	51.7%169 W · 158 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under	49c	1,809$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$886.41	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	1,658$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.67	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under	49c	1,621$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.29	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under	49c	816.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under	51c	800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	557	49.2%274 W · 283 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Under	49c	690.71$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.45	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Under	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.35per pick	50cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Under	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	132	47%62 W · 70 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	53c	507$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.62	605	48.9%296 W · 309 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under	49c	491.66$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.91	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under	49c	406.13$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	210	50%105 W · 105 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	270	45.2%122 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under	49c	383.67$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under	49c	324.36$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.94	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Under	51c	305.43$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.8	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under	49c	304$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.96	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under	51c	285.79$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.95	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under	50c	253.77$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.75	196	53.1%104 W · 92 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under	49c	244.9$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	47c	244.6$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.64	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	195	55.4%108 W · 87 L	+14.4wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0343…5475backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	141	51.1%72 W · 69 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f1…0f6bbacked Under	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	200	46.5%93 W · 107 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over	50c	158.43$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.43	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under	49c	112.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.37	186	46.2%86 W · 100 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	50c	107.98$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.99	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Under	51c	107.88$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.53	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under	49c	101$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.49	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	1,070	46.9%502 W · 568 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	386	45.9%177 W · 209 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-5.9wins	-0.33per pick	50cpaid	-66%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Under	48c	58.85$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.25	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under	79c	55.68$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.06	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-7.4wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over	51c	55$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.95	350	50.3%176 W · 174 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Under	49c	43.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c02…266cbacked Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a7…07cdbacked Under	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Over	51c	30.8$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f0…8646backed Under	52c	30.77$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dec…61b7backed Under	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d1…3a4abacked Under	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-3.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under	49c	26.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+10.9wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Over	51c	26.03$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	49c	24.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	891	46.2%412 W · 479 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…80d2backed Under	49c	23.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-3.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a87…030ebacked Under	53c	22.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…c19dbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-60%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 141.5this page
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green Falcons won
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 142.5Over won
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 143.5Over won
Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-10.5)Eastern Michigan Eagles won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 141.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event