TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a87…030e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$73.25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$47.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$15.22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.7
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$18.66
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$10.52
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.19
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$17.29
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Giants vs. Panthersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$23.1
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.02
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.