TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Jazz, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$338,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Jazz47c31,441$14,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,910.2147656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe642…9440backed Kings47c10,772$5,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.471546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Kings63c8,960$5,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.318417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Jazz42c7,833$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.4929043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Jazz28c6,774$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.7530443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc3…be1abacked Kings55c6,239$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.692839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1f…f491backed Kings50c5,964$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f09…02b6backed Kings50c5,948$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.041450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Kings70c5,285$3,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.488046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d0…d03cbacked Kings67c4,537$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.651435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Kings80c3,950$3,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79923548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Jazz30c3,738$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1305616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Jazz68c3,393$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.668129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Jazz17c3,025$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.399035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Kings79c2,900$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.6250047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9711…3fa1backed Kings63c2,889$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.382326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c22…7c10backed Jazz34c2,810$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Jazz54c2,771$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz28c2,713$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.5146131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7762…1bb1backed Kings71c2,434$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Kings62c2,355$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.435856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Jazz20c2,287$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.6418316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054c…9fc0backed Kings45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kings42c1,925$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.2627041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Kings74c1,912$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.8423646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…bb26backed Kings78c1,881$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.223745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Kings80c1,762$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.466141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jazz44c1,743$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.0261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x353b…0d45backed Jazz58c1,730$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz26c1,697$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.161,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e09…78f0backed Jazz29c1,658$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.251656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Jazz35c1,657$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5776533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz4c1,612$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.021,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Jazz66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Jazz16c1,500$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.958229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz24c1,487$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.871,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a0…9dedbacked Kings79c1,416$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Kings72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Kings70c1,329$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.8519943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Jazz23c1,297$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Jazz15c1,175$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x875a…eb03backed Kings72c1,091$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Jazz21c1,003$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5619642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz31c1,000$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.021,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.571,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8326…da54backed Jazz21c999.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.991346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ad…93e0backed Kings71c977.59$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…6051backed Kings71c973.69$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x776d…a624backed Kings71c973.69$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Jazz21c951.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.919130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Kings72c900$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25426547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7feb…6be7backed Kings55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ca0…0d84backed Jazz12c837.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-59.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa691…8ea2backed Kings72c830.33$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2967…4517backed Kings77c809.13$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.11758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz42c782.34$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.4265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz4c738.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.171,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccb3…2e03backed Jazz54c730.09$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.85333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Kings66c728.39$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.5215234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7946…1c01backed Jazz28c675$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed Kings80c674.97$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.992445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz18c645.84$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc677…ac6abacked Kings71c596.58$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc2…758bbacked Jazz3c590.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.633218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x892d…89a0backed Jazz15c566.84$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6283…0cf9backed Jazz20c564.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.172751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Kings73c560.79$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7918666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Kings80c550$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1108439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz13c534.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1137011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Jazz24c520.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings72c519.19$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.591,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz19c513.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Kings71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14515945.9%73 W · 86 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc726…c39abacked Kings74c500$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.772138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Jazz23c499.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0623835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Jazz31c487.2$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Kings45c450$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.510546.7%49 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ad…962ebacked Jazz20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Kings70c445$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.57958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Kings76c422.53$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4134425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8142…9c50backed Jazz22c414.43$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Kings52c386.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.128347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…6aebbacked Kings41c374.42$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.381947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8163…e061backed Jazz20c354.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.882638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Jazz22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Kings78c350$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32e8…b92abacked Jazz64c310.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Jazz15c306.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4611428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Jazz23c299.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6919939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Kings73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9715558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d0…af06backed Jazz18c271.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.534226.2%11 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x166f…c6f4backed Jazz19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-67.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3450…b297backed Jazz19c257.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d6…c556backed Kings80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Jazz20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6099…bae1backed Jazz20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…175ebacked Jazz31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e0…7433backed Jazz33c231.73$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.253823.7%9 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-52.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Jazz45c222.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010054%54 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a2…f532backed Jazz22c218.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.