TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Spurs, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x371a…34b0backed Spurs1c14,103$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.291,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…d2f5backed Spurs17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7002119%4 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Spurs17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8505457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Spurs18c4,450$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.9946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Spurs1c4,075$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5510236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe642…9440backed Spurs17c3,719$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.281546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Spurs3c3,643$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Spurs13c3,000$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39113341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…a715backed Spurs15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ec…66f9backed Spurs14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.991650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Spurs1c2,850$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Spurs17c2,620$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Spurs14c2,500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9f7…3561backed Spurs16c2,346$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Spurs15c2,164$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.295347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs17c2,116$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.351,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Spurs16c2,095$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1410462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…af06backed Spurs4c2,050$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.234226.2%11 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Spurs16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…6aebbacked Spurs14c1,785$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.91947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Spurs16c1,555$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.618316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Spurs14c1,500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2159035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb63…33d8backed Spurs15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Spurs12c1,382$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.673732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8163…e061backed Spurs15c1,298$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.372638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7946…1c01backed Spurs15c1,081$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.151241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Spurs20c1,055$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21121649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Spurs19c1,052$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.889130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddb…0974backed Spurs17c1,004$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1671435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Spurs20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Spurs17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17027642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f6…e0a1backed Spurs15c999.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Mavericks80c923.94$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7919642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Mavericks80c893.79$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.768053.8%43 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1797…a900backed Spurs17c817.06$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.282025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a8…f9edbacked Spurs8c799.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs11c797.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.321,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Mavericks79c761.13$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.237143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Spurs20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Spurs19c686.03$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.391,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Spurs15c665$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…8a34backed Spurs16c634.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Spurs16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d3…ea4ebacked Spurs11c620.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51224.5%1 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-85.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2667…4919backed Spurs17c582.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Spurs10c523.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.48229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Spurs16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ea…6f18backed Spurs20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005438.9%21 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Spurs19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Spurs20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Spurs19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9526547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c77…af46backed Mavericks78c479.49$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd900…dd5cbacked Spurs16c475.06$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+72.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e7…9ce2backed Spurs13c463.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82eb…4dd9backed Spurs20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Spurs20c411.24$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2419939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Spurs13c409.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8070147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Spurs16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Mavericks75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked Spurs21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eef…1e04backed Spurs14c397.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76a0…9dedbacked Spurs19c393.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.71163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Spurs16c368.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Spurs15c335$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2534644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Spurs16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f7…0fb5backed Spurs16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Spurs18c310.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4722039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Spurs17c302.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.629625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Spurs15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2273…a0ecbacked Spurs14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Spurs16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.511428.1%32 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Spurs18c281.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.28232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c46…3e5cbacked Spurs15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402483.3%20 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks71c260.8$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66c…9056backed Spurs20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502532%8 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de9…50b9backed Spurs20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Spurs20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x166f…c6f4backed Spurs20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-67.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6099…bae1backed Spurs20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd89…c838backed Spurs21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc53b…6774backed Spurs17c237$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3586…eecfbacked Spurs20c235$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec48…6e5dbacked Spurs13c224.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Spurs9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b0…dd7abacked Spurs16c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Spurs17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f0…5effbacked Spurs25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Spurs17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc2…758bbacked Spurs13c199.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…a04bbacked Spurs18c191.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d46…3bffbacked Spurs16c180$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.94922.4%11 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Spurs22c180$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.340726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a2…5374backed Spurs17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0bd…3e91backed Spurs20c165$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Spurs16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd686…055abacked Spurs20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x138d…24febacked Spurs9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71e8…4412backed Spurs17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.