Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf56c2da05fd4632758016bef02c8670014239e860fd601fba09ad6223594e2d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bowling Green Falconsof Eastern Michigan Eagles, Bowling Green Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 32c | 2,768$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.93 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bowling Green Falcons | 54c | 2,391$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.95 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Bowling Green Falcons | 65c | 2,160$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.27 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 51c | 2,133$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 15c | 1,872$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 34c | 1,464$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.62 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 69c | 1,254$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.87 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bowling Green Falcons | 59c | 983.77$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.28 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 15c | 901.74$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b254backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 6c | 664.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 52c | 307.86$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bowling Green Falcons | 64c | 294.94$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bowling Green Falcons | 77c | 285.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 43c | 182.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Bowling Green Falcons | 28c | 157.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Bowling Green Falcons | 56c | 138.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Bowling Green Falcons | 79c | 133.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 15c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 45c | 66.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…53ccbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 46c | 64.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 73c | 63.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa194…a62abacked Bowling Green Falcons | 68c | 58.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Bowling Green Falcons | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 79c | 50.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bowling Green Falcons | 57c | 45.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Bowling Green Falcons | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falconsthis page
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 141.5Over won
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 142.5Over won
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-10.5)Eastern Michigan Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.