Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bb168a856f40eb2cef84bb55f4a8aa0491625484b8b5b83083b474bc6b23ad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $721,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $731,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c8c…2d14backed Yes | 43c | 388,000$166,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221,160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,999.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 55c | 70,909$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 69,314$39,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,496.86 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 45c | 69,234$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,234.09 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 40,403$13,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,922.48 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,950 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 32,595$18,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,558.13 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 24,770$13,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,032.84 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 22,389$12,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,728.6 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.93 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 57c | 19,470$11,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,097.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 57c | 19,205$10,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,946.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 18,804$10,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,703.57 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 10,231$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.3 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 45c | 9,999$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.45 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 58c | 9,570$5,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 44c | 8,500$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,764.94 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 56c | 8,270$4,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.17 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 6,552$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.94 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes | 43c | 5,197$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 43c | 4,616$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.06 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked No | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x147e…0a4bbacked Yes | 45c | 3,260$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.98 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.09 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 40c | 2,900$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 57c | 2,191$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.74 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 75c | 2,187$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.94 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.19 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed No | 60c | 1,661$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked No | 59c | 1,632$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +163.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 56c | 1,459$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.88 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 55c | 1,277$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,200$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 76c | 1,141$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 1,094$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 58c | 1,052$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.17 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 979.11$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.84 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 56c | 967.21$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.64 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 45c | 953.6$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.34 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 883.09$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.68 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 57c | 802.56$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.46 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 41c | 719.96$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.72 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 44c | 680.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.32 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 45c | 637.38$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.83 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed No | 57c | 607.76$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 44c | 599.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.59 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 58c | 599.96$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 582.97$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.29 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 44c | 542.26$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 56c | 503.61$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 56c | 499.99$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 42c | 473.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.21 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 446.7$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.15 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 59c | 445.63$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.71 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 39c | 445.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 434.73$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.51 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 44c | 425$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 57c | 420$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Yes | 68c | 384.47$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 14c | 348.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Yes | 45c | 345.43$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Yes | 69c | 343$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…bbfebacked Yes | 43c | 342.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 57c | 330$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 57c | 330$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 46c | 321.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 55c | 316.36$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed No | 57c | 309.88$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.