TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed No69c26,326$18,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,161.1110553.3%56 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c21,774$6,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,855.5175142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes31c20,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2003250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1005653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.997062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Yes32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No68c4,656$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.9416647%78 W · 88 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No69c4,539$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.134658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.139549.5%47 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9304835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes30c2,831$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.422759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed Yes32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…91c5backed Yes32c2,250$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No68c1,750$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56034144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes30c1,387$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.17639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c1,363$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.412,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No69c1,304$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.0716850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c1,303$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41835856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes22c1,243$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.464526.7%12 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No70c1,123$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.91764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3108251.2%42 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303834.2%13 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c801.1$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.951,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c723.94$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.923,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.292263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes32c687.5$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204920.4%10 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No68c639.33$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7419347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1809746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805020%10 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No67c599.98$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.995052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked No70c573.71$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.111250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd642…c499backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes31c436.05$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4620545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c427.8$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.581,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13631145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe060…c21cbacked No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No69c381$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1130054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No66c330$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.214355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes32c325$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No69c276$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.562470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Yes30c269.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.931942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes16c262.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes32c254.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4519446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked No69c206.81$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.111782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.4wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+61.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes6c205$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.38939.3%35 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Yes10c204.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No70c197.26$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.183050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed No70c197.13$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.142556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No68c174.19$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7444749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked No70c173$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.068258.5%48 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.222829.4%67 W · 161 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8911952.1%62 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c138.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4969851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No69c128.57$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.862147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89159.3%54 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No69c116$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.966251.6%32 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3356547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a9…a074backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.59831.6%31 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305770.2%40 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No66c88.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0611563.5%73 W · 42 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No70c86.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.937344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No68c86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5234342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516750.9%85 W · 82 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes34c80.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0218746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes43c72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0616045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed No70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.436827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.433342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4217547.4%83 W · 92 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.811661.2%71 W · 45 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13cb…59e9backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x730d…98c0backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dec…be12backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205215.4%8 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes31c57.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.798253.7%44 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes32c55.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.885554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No68c55.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.886167.2%41 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No68c54.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c50.12$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9656951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa9…a3c3backed Yes33c48.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes36c41.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8939558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No64c41.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.899053.3%48 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked No70c40.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed No67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.313467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes31c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.472334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes33c36.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.125850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c35.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9578248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes47c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1538151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.914756.5%83 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974e…f523backed No69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.